Spain vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.7%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.8%
1.4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
ESP
5 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
ESP
0 - 0
IRL
66%
22%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
NIR
0 - 0
ESP
26%
30%
44%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
LVA
0 - 0
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
FIN
3 - 0
LTU
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1993 |
LVA
1 - 2
LTU
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
LTU
0 - 0
DEN
20%
26%
53%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |