Spain vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
61%
22%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ENG
0 - 1
ESP
47%
26%
28%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
ROU
67%
21%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARG
51%
25%
24%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
28%
27%
45%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
ISL
1 - 2
SWE
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
LVA
4 - 0
ISL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 2
DEN
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NIR
0 - 3
ISL
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
68%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |