Spain vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
DEN
1 - 0
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
5 - 0
LTU
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
ESP
5 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
ESP
0 - 0
IRL
66%
22%
13%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
IRL
3 - 0
NIR
64%
24%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
ALB
1 - 2
NIR
26%
29%
45%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1992 |
NIR
0 - 1
DEN
35%
31%
34%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
NIR
0 - 0
ESP
26%
30%
44%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
NIR
3 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |