Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
UKR
0 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
4 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 45 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
ESP
7%
15%
78%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
SVK
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BLR
0 - 1
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
LTU
0 - 3
ENG
7%
18%
76%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUI
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 6
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
94 | 31 | 63 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SVN
2 - 3
ENG
12%
20%
68%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |