Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
7%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
58%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
70%
|
99 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
4 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
99 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
BIH
81%
15%
5%
|
99 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GER
1 - 2
ENG
51%
24%
25%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BLR
1 - 3
ENG
14%
25%
61%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ENG
5 - 1
KAZ
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 4
ENG
32%
29%
39%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AND
0 - 2
ENG
5%
17%
78%
|
98 | 51 | 47 | 0 |