Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 1
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
77%
15%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
VEN
81%
13%
5%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
ENG
5%
17%
78%
|
97 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
75%
17%
9%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
POL
1 - 2
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
2 - 2
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 0
UKR
79%
15%
6%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |