Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
ESP
2 - 0
USA
79%
16%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1992 |
ESP
1 - 1
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1992 |
POR
0 - 0
ESP
32%
30%
39%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
CSK
57%
25%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
2 - 1
ENG
44%
27%
30%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 0
ENG
48%
27%
26%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1992 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
42%
27%
31%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
FIN
1 - 2
ENG
16%
27%
57%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |