Spain vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1959 |
FRA
4 - 3
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ESP
6 - 3
AUT
63%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1959 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
POL
2 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1960 |
ENG
3 - 3
YUG
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
33%
23%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 3
SWE
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
WAL
1 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |