Spain vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
4 - 0
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
ARM
95%
5%
1%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
UKR
2 - 2
ESP
8%
18%
74%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
18%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
BGR
77%
16%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
SVK
2 - 2
GRC
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 2
GRC
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
AUT
2 - 2
GRC
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
GRC
1 - 0
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
CYP
1 - 2
GRC
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |