Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
ENG
4 - 2
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
SUI
6 - 2
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
POL
2 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |