Spain vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
1 - 0
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
4 - 1
TUR
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 2
SWE
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1954 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
FRA
3 - 2
MEX
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |