Spain vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NZL
0 - 5
ESP
1%
7%
92%
|
99 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 6
ESP
7%
20%
73%
|
99 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
0 - 3
USA
32%
25%
44%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
USA
0 - 3
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
USA
1 - 3
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 1
HND
65%
21%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CRC
3 - 1
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |