Spain vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
VEN
81%
13%
5%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ESP
6%
14%
80%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
84%
12%
5%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
4 - 0
AND
96%
4%
0%
|
98 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SCO
0 - 3
HUN
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SCO
4 - 1
TTO
64%
23%
14%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
SCO
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SCO
1 - 2
ROU
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |