Spain vs Scotland analysis

Spain Scotland
98 ELO 89
1.1% Tilt 8.6%
20º General ELO ranking 228º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.4%
Spain
15.4%
Draw
7.2%
Scotland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
Spain
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
Scotland
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Spain
Scotland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2004
ESP
Spain
3 - 2
Venezuela
VEN
81%
13%
5%
98 80 18 0
20 Jun. 2004
ESP
Spain
0 - 1
Portugal
POR
67%
19%
14%
98 95 3 0
16 Jun. 2004
GRC
Greece
1 - 1
Spain
ESP
6%
14%
80%
98 90 8 0
12 Jun. 2004
ESP
Spain
1 - 0
Russia
RUS
84%
12%
5%
98 91 7 0
05 Jun. 2004
ESP
Spain
4 - 0
Andorra
AND
96%
4%
0%
98 56 42 0

Matches

Scotland
Scotland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2004
SCO
Scotland
0 - 3
Hungary
HUN
49%
26%
25%
90 87 3 0
30 May. 2004
SCO
Scotland
4 - 1
Trinidad and Tobago
TTO
64%
23%
14%
90 79 11 0
27 May. 2004
EST
Estonia
0 - 1
Scotland
SCO
22%
27%
51%
90 71 19 0
28 Apr. 2004
DEN
Denmark
1 - 0
Scotland
SCO
67%
21%
13%
90 94 4 0
31 Mar. 2004
SCO
Scotland
1 - 2
Romania
ROU
30%
27%
43%
90 92 2 0