Spain vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
3 - 1
FIN
82%
14%
5%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
ESP
3 - 0
WAL
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1984 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SCO
6 - 1
YUG
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |