Spain vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 2
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 2
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
SCO
3 - 0
DDR
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 1
YUG
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 0
BRA
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
COD
0 - 2
SCO
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |