Spain vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 0
RUS
74%
17%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 2
CIV
81%
14%
5%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
SVK
1 - 1
ESP
3%
11%
86%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 1
SVK
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
98 | 44 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
38%
26%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 1
SEN
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
4 - 1
COD
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 1
CIV
68%
18%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |