Spain vs Ecuador analysis

Spain Ecuador
98 ELO 88
0.7% Tilt 9.1%
20º General ELO ranking 83º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80.9%
Spain
14.3%
Draw
4.8%
Ecuador

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
Spain
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
4.8%
Win probability
Ecuador
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO progression

Spain
Ecuador
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain
Spain
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2003
ESP
Spain
3 - 0
Armenia
ARM
95%
5%
1%
98 74 24 0
29 Mar. 2003
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 2
Spain
ESP
8%
18%
74%
98 86 12 0
12 Feb. 2003
ESP
Spain
3 - 1
Germany
GER
60%
23%
18%
98 95 3 0
20 Nov. 2002
ESP
Spain
1 - 0
Bulgaria
BGR
77%
16%
7%
98 89 9 0
16 Oct. 2002
ESP
Spain
0 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
75%
17%
8%
98 91 7 0

Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2003
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 1
Estonia
EST
69%
20%
11%
88 72 16 0
09 Feb. 2003
ECU
Ecuador
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
69%
20%
11%
88 72 16 0
20 Nov. 2002
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 2
Costa Rica
CRC
49%
26%
25%
88 87 1 0
20 Oct. 2002
VEN
Venezuela
2 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
37%
27%
36%
88 76 12 0
16 Oct. 2002
CRC
Costa Rica
1 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
54%
25%
22%
88 87 1 0