Spain vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
55%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
UKR
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TUR
0 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
42%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
DEN
37%
27%
36%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 3
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 1
DEN
12%
22%
67%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 2
ROU
55%
23%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |