Spain vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
89 | 41 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
HUN
54%
25%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
12 - 1
MLT
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
NED
2 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
NED
6 - 0
DEN
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
GRC
0 - 2
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
1 - 0
DEN
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DEN
6 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
ENG
0 - 1
DEN
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |