Spain vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 2
ESP
31%
25%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
77%
15%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAR
82%
13%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
0 - 1
ESP
15%
20%
65%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
CRO
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 2
CRO
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 2
CRO
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
DEN
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |