Spain vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
1 - 3
ESP
3%
12%
85%
|
94 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
ESP
9%
17%
73%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
SCO
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
6 - 0
CYP
91%
7%
2%
|
94 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 3
COL
39%
28%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
93%
7%
1%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
22%
27%
52%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
60%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |