Spain vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
USA
0 - 4
ESP
17%
21%
62%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 3
ESP
7%
17%
76%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
CZE
71%
19%
10%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 1
CHI
60%
24%
16%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MEX
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |