Spain vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
1 - 3
ESP
3%
12%
85%
|
94 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
ESP
9%
17%
73%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
SCO
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
60%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
URU
2 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | -1 |