Spain vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
ISR
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ESP
8 - 0
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
97 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AUT
1 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
97 | 51 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
NED
2 - 2
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
BRA
4 - 2
ARG
73%
17%
10%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
21%
25%
55%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
4 - 3
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
8 - 2
KSA
92%
6%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |