Spain vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.8%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 4
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
96 | 44 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
2 - 1
ESP
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
5 - 1
MKD
88%
10%
2%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
0 - 3
ESP
6%
13%
81%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BLR
1 - 3
SVK
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BLR
0 - 2
UKR
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LUX
1 - 1
BLR
12%
21%
68%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BLR
6 - 1
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 5
BLR
9%
20%
72%
|
80 | 28 | 52 | 0 |