Spain vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 1
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
77%
15%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
VEN
81%
13%
5%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ESP
6%
14%
80%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
LTU
77%
16%
8%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NED
0 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 3
TUR
64%
22%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |