Spain vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.8%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.3%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
15.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.8%
3-0
18.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.2%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
4.5%
0.6%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
UKR
2 - 2
ESP
8%
18%
74%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
18%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
BGR
77%
16%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ARM
1 - 0
NIR
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 0
ARM
85%
10%
4%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
GRC
2 - 0
ARM
87%
10%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ARM
2 - 2
UKR
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
AND
0 - 2
ARM
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |