Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
49%
22%
28%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
RUS
3 - 3
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
CRC
81%
13%
5%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 1
ESP
10%
17%
73%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
91%
8%
1%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ARG
2 - 4
NGA
82%
14%
4%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 3
ARG
25%
25%
50%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 0
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |