Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
28%
27%
45%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
NIR
3 - 2
ESP
10%
22%
68%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
LIE
95%
5%
1%
|
98 | 24 | 74 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
68%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 3
FRA
43%
25%
33%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
ARG
42%
22%
36%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 1
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
NED
0 - 0
ARG
44%
24%
32%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2006 |
ARG
6 - 0
SCG
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |