Spain vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
WAL
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
ENG
4 - 2
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
POR
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
21%
22%
58%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
33%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 2
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |