Spain vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.8%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.8%
6-0
7.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
12%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
16.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
18.4%
3-0
19.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
11.1%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
1%
2-2
0.1%
0
3.7%
0.4%
Win probability
0.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.4%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
DEN
67%
20%
13%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
55%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
FRA
4 - 0
AND
96%
3%
0%
|
56 | 99 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
AND
0 - 0
CHN
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
AND
0 - 3
BGR
4%
17%
80%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
AND
0 - 3
CRO
10%
21%
68%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
AND
0 - 2
GAB
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |