Spain vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PRT
0 - 1
ESP
33%
24%
43%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
CZE
81%
12%
6%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 2
ESP
10%
19%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
NGA
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UZB
1 - 2
CRI
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 2
CRI
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
MTQ
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |