Slovenia vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MLT
2 - 2
SVN
14%
23%
64%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
SVN
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SVN
2 - 1
KAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
DNK
2 - 1
SVN
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIR
0 - 1
SVN
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
PRT
5 - 2
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
PRT
4%
14%
83%
|
93 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 5
PRT
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |