Scotland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
HUN
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 1
SUI
26%
25%
50%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GER
5 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 0
GIB
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |