Scotland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVN
59%
25%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SCO
0 - 3
HUN
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SCO
4 - 1
TTO
64%
23%
14%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
SCO
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
1 - 1
BLR
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
RUS
50%
25%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |