Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SCO
1 - 0
SVN
60%
24%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SCO
1 - 1
CAN
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
3 - 0
SCO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
3 - 0
SCO
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 1
LTU
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ENG
2 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
ENG
60%
21%
20%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
3 - 0
SCO
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVN
0 - 0
ENG
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |