Scotland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
LTU
71%
20%
10%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
GER
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SCO
3 - 1
FRO
87%
10%
2%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NED
5 - 0
MDA
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
CZE
3 - 1
NED
30%
24%
46%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
NED
3 - 1
AUT
76%
16%
9%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
22%
24%
54%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BLR
0 - 2
NED
5%
14%
81%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |