Scotland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
SCO
3 - 0
DDR
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 1
YUG
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 0
BRA
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
COD
0 - 2
SCO
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1974 |
NOR
1 - 2
SCO
22%
21%
57%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |