Scotland vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
3 - 0
SCO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
3 - 0
SCO
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 1
LTU
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MLT
1 - 5
SCO
15%
24%
61%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
SCO
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 4
CAN
13%
21%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
KOR
2 - 0
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAN
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |