UAE vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
TTO
3 - 3
UAE
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
UAE
2 - 1
UZB
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIE
1 - 2
UAE
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
UAE
2 - 1
IRQ
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
UAE
1 - 0
KWT
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
KSA
0 - 1
NZL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
NZL
0 - 1
JOR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
81%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |