UAE vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 3
IRN
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRQ
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 0
AUS
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
2 - 0
SYR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 1
OMA
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LBN
0 - 6
KWT
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SYR
4 - 0
LBN
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
LBN
1 - 1
VIE
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHN
1 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |