Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
EGY
22%
23%
54%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 2
EGY
18%
25%
58%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
3 - 0
UGA
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 3
UGA
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
TUN
2 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UGA
1 - 0
CGO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |