Egypt vs Uganda analysis

Egypt Uganda
87 ELO 70
6% Tilt 0.8%
205º General ELO ranking 1936º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
76%
Egypt
15.8%
Draw
8.2%
Uganda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
Egypt
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
Uganda
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
-3%
-3%
Uganda

ELO progression

Egypt
Uganda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2017
MLI
Mali
0 - 0
Egypt
EGY
22%
23%
54%
86 76 10 0
08 Jan. 2017
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
66%
20%
14%
86 82 4 0
13 Nov. 2016
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Ghana
GHA
66%
21%
14%
86 83 3 0
09 Oct. 2016
CGO
Congo
1 - 2
Egypt
EGY
18%
25%
58%
86 68 18 0
06 Sep. 2016
RSA
South Africa
1 - 0
Egypt
EGY
28%
27%
45%
87 83 4 -1

Matches

Uganda
Uganda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2017
GHA
Ghana
1 - 0
Uganda
UGA
66%
21%
14%
71 83 12 0
11 Jan. 2017
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
3 - 0
Uganda
UGA
76%
17%
8%
71 87 16 0
08 Jan. 2017
SVK
Slovakia
1 - 3
Uganda
UGA
73%
19%
8%
70 86 16 +1
04 Jan. 2017
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Uganda
UGA
66%
21%
13%
71 82 11 -1
12 Nov. 2016
UGA
Uganda
1 - 0
Congo
CGO
43%
27%
30%
70 67 3 +1