Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
EGY
4 - 2
GUI
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 1
EGY
15%
25%
59%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ZIM
2 - 4
EGY
19%
27%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
EGY
1 - 1
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 0
UGA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
UGA
2 - 1
ANG
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
UGA
1 - 0
LBR
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LBR
2 - 0
UGA
19%
22%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |