Egypt vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
96.2%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.8%
7-0
5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
5.6%
6-0
8.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
9.8%
5-0
12.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
14.8%
4-0
15.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.7%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
2.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
2.9%
0.5%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.5%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COD
0 - 1
EGY
24%
29%
47%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SDN
4 - 0
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MWI
1 - 0
EGY
18%
28%
54%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 4
EGY
3%
17%
80%
|
90 | 41 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 3
MWI
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
COD
5 - 1
DJI
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 6
COD
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 4
EGY
3%
17%
80%
|
41 | 90 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
MWI
8 - 1
DJI
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |