Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ETH
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
EGY
3 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
EGY
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
TUN
16%
27%
57%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |