Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CGO
1 - 2
EGY
18%
25%
58%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
TAN
0 - 2
EGY
14%
23%
63%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
TUN
2 - 0
UGA
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TUN
0 - 0
MTN
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBR
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |