Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 1
EGY
43%
29%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 1
BEN
97%
3%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
EGY
5 - 4
UAE
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
EGY
5 - 0
QAT
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
COD
2 - 2
TUN
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
TUN
2 - 2
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
0 - 2
TUN
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |