Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1995 |
EGY
1 - 2
GHA
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 0
EGY
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
EGY
2 - 2
ZIM
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 0
EGY
40%
30%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
TUN
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
3 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 1
UKR
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 0
ALG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |