Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
SYR
2 - 1
EGY
18%
25%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
LBN
1 - 1
EGY
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 0
EGY
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
EGY
0 - 1
MLI
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 0
EGY
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1994 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1994 |
TUN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
TUN
1 - 1
COD
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
TUN
0 - 2
MLI
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |