Egypt vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
DDR
7 - 0
EGY
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1968 |
GRC
4 - 1
EGY
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
6 - 0
EGY
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
EGY
2 - 2
BGR
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
EGY
2 - 0
SDN
74%
15%
12%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1967 |
SDN
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1967 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
72%
15%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
EGY
2 - 0
SDN
74%
15%
12%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1965 |
SDN
4 - 2
LBY
47%
21%
33%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
SDN
2 - 0
SYR
48%
22%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |